Houthi forces threaten to retaliate against the United States, Red Sea crisis ushered in escalation?

    Trump, who calls himself the "President of peace," recently suddenly ordered attacks on the Houthi armed forces in Yemen. Soon, the battered Houthis, not to be outdone, vowed revenge. The situation in the Red Sea has escalated dramatically.

    CCTV news, the Houthis said on the 16th that in retaliation for the US military action, the Houthis attacked the US "Harry Truman" aircraft carrier.

    In a televised address, Houthi leader Abdul Malik al-Houthi said the Houthis "will respond to escalation with escalation by attacking American aircraft carriers, warships and American ships in the Red Sea." Malik al-Houthi accused the United States of "turning the sea into a battlefield and affecting international shipping."

    Only two months have passed since the ceasefire agreement between Palestine and Israel, and the dawn of peace has just emerged. The coming and going of the United States and the Houthi armed forces has once again cast a shadow over peace in this region.

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    The attack on the Houthis, the United States intended Iran

    On March 16, local time, Yemen's Houthi-controlled health department said that the death toll caused by the US air strike had risen to 53 people, including 5 children and 2 women, and the number of wounded reached 98. The air strikes also caused damage to property and public facilities.

    Wang Jin, director of the Center for Israel Studies at Northwestern University, believes that the United States once again attacked the Houthi armed forces is "Xiang Zhuang sword is intended to pay attention to the public," it seems to be directly aimed at the Houthi armed forces, but behind the special considerations, especially the strategic considerations of Iran.

    "The United States and the Houthis have been fighting for more than a year and a half, so this round of strikes is a continuation of the past military strikes, but you have to see that the conflict between the United States and the Houthis is more aimed at Iran." Wang Jin explained that because in the view of the United States, the Houthi armed forces are not only an armed military force within Yemen, but also an important strategic grasping hand of Iran in the Middle East, so attacking the Houthi armed forces can knock Iran and bring greater strategic pressure to it.

    "So this round of strikes, that is, hitting the Houthis themselves, but more importantly, sending a signal to Iran that the United States will exert indirect or even direct military and political pressure on Iran, asking Iran to make concessions under strong pressure from the United States, and on this basis, talk or negotiate with the United States." Wang Jin said.

    Yemen clearly does not intend to be dumb, stating that it will attack US aircraft carriers, warships and American ships. A week ago, the Houthis similarly threatened Israel, warning shipping companies that "any Israeli vessel" passing through nearby Middle Eastern waters would now be targeted.

    At the same time, the threat to the United States and the "hegemon" Israel in the Middle East has been issued, and the confidence of the Houthi armed forces has been combined.

    In terms of absolute strength, Yemen's Houthi armed forces are weak, completely different from the United States, even with Israel, the difference is larger. However, Wang Jin believes that the Houthi armed forces are not striking stones with eggs and praying arms.

    First, the area where the conflict actually took place is in the Red Sea area on Yemen's doorstep, including attacks on ships, and basically around the core area of Yemen, "so the Houthi armed forces can transform their absolute strength into their own advantage by fighting at their doorstep, and gain a certain battlefield initiative."

    In addition, Wang Jin believes that the United States and the Houthi armed forces are actually engaged in an asymmetric "war."

    The United States and Israel mainly use long-range attacks to weaken the strength of the Houthi armed forces and frustrate or deter the counterattack intention of the Houthi armed forces, while the Houthi armed forces against the United States and Israel are more of a harassment war, through long-range drones and missiles, from time to time to attack the Israeli mainland and the US fleet in the Red Sea region, through this way to show their strength and determination. The United States and Israel have no desire to get fully involved in Yemen's civil war.

    "The attack methods and strategic intentions of both sides have kept their forces in a relatively balanced state and maintained a delicate balance of power." Wang Jin believes that in the future, the force of this confrontation will exist for a long time, and the complex situation of the game between the Houthi armed forces and the United States and Israel will also continue for a long time.

    The escalation of the situation in the Red Sea may affect the Palestinian-Israeli peace process

    The Middle East is known as the "powder keg of the world", after World War II, there are wars and conflicts, and the struggle between the Houthi armed forces and the United States has also made the world full of concerns. UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres called on all parties to "exercise maximum restraint and cease all military activities."

    In a statement, Guterres' spokesman warned that a new escalation could "trigger a cycle of reprisals that could further destabilize Yemen and the region and pose a serious risk to the already dire humanitarian situation in Yemen."

    Wang Jin believes that in the coming period of time, the crisis in the Red Sea region is likely to continue to escalate.

    Judging from the past year and a half, once the United States strikes against the Houthis, the Houthis will inevitably not yield, and will retaliate on a large scale, in order to demonstrate their ability and determination to retaliate.

    With the attack of the United States, the Houthis will have a corresponding response, which makes the situation in the Middle East more complicated, in view of the lack of direct dialogue and communication channels, the two sides can only use military conflict "you punch me and I will kick for you" way, hoping the other side to understand their strategic intentions.

    "In this context, I am afraid there will be a greater risk of strategic miscalculation and conflict escalation, bringing new uncertainties to the regional situation," Mr Wang said.

    There are also fears that as the crisis in the Red Sea escalates, it could affect the short-lived peace between Israel and the Palestinians.

    On January 16 this year, with the promotion of all relevant parties, the 15-month long delay in the Palestinian-Israeli conflict finally saw the dawn of an end. According to CCTV News, during the conflict, the Israeli military operations in the Gaza Strip have resulted in 46,565 Palestinians killed and 109,660 injured.

    If the situation in the Red Sea continues to escalate, it is likely to translate into such large-scale attacks on Israel by the Houthis in Yemen, especially the continued long-range missile and drone attacks on Israel, such attacks are bound to be retaliated against by Israel.

    Wang Jin said that the escalation of the situation in the Red Sea may affect public opinion in Israel in the future, making public opinion in Israel more sensitive and more welcoming to strong gestures, which may interfere with the dialogue between Israel and Hamas and add more distrust to the public opinion atmosphere in Israel.

    "So the crisis in the Red Sea region seems to be far away from the Israeli-Palestinian areas, but in fact, it will have a more obvious linkage effect." Wang Jin said that under the current situation, if you want to prevent the situation of all parties from escalating and triggering a larger conflict, you need to keep rational and restrained, including the United States, Yemen's Houthi armed forces, Israel and other parties.









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2025-03-19来源:新华社

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Houthi forces threaten to retaliate against the United States, Red Sea crisis ushered in escalation?